Trump Just Got A Humiliating Wakeup Call As Recent Poll Stunned Nation With Voter’s Shift in Favor
Vice President Kamala Harris has received a significant boost in the latest national polling, delivering a humiliating wakeup call to former President Donald Trump.
A recent survey conducted by Fairleigh Dickinson University reveals that Harris is leading Trump by 7 percentage points, marking a stunning shift in voters’ choice as the general election draws nearer. The poll, which was released last Friday, shows Harris securing 50% of the national vote compared to Trump’s 43%, while 7% of voters indicated they would choose another candidate. Both Harris and Trump enjoy substantial support from their respective party bases, each drawing 95% of support from their partisans.
However, the poll also highlights that race and gender play pivotal roles in Harris’s advantage over Trump. When voters are prompted to consider these aspects, Harris’s lead widens considerably. In contrast, when race and gender are not focal points, the support for both candidates is almost evenly split. Among independent voters who do not lean toward any particular party, Harris maintains a smaller lead of 38% to Trump’s 33%. Harris also enjoys overwhelming support among self-identified liberals and progressives, with 87% and 93% backing her, respectively, compared to Trump’s single-digit support from these groups. Even among moderates, Harris leads Trump by 62% to 30%.
According to a report by The Hill dated Sunday August 25, 2024, Trump, however, continues to hold a strong position among conservatives, leading Harris by 76% to 19%, and enjoys near-universal support among MAGA voters, with 95% of them backing him. Trump’s base remains solid among men who align with traditionally masculine identities, whereas Harris finds greater support among women and men who reject such identities.
Dan Cassino, a professor of government and politics at Fairleigh Dickinson University and the executive director of the poll, noted that Trump’s political persona, which has been deeply tied to a particular performance of whiteness and masculinity, may no longer be as effective as it once was. Cassino pointed out that while Trump has traditionally done well among nonwhite voters, this advantage diminishes significantly when voters are asked to consider race. This suggests that when race becomes a conscious factor in the minds of voters, many shift their support to Harris.
The poll marks the latest in a series of positive developments for Harris since she replaced President Joe Biden as the Democratic presidential nominee last month. Harris’s recent gains in the polls are particularly noteworthy as they reflect her growing momentum, which has begun to erode Trump’s once-strong lead both nationally and in key swing states. Despite these positive signs for Harris, some political strategists caution that it may still be too early to draw definitive conclusions about the outcome of the November election.
Trump has publicly dismissed Harris’s recent gains in the polls, telling Fox News anchor Martha MacCallum last Thursday that he remains confident in his appeal to key voter demographics, including Hispanic voters, Black men, and women. Trump claimed, “No, she’s not having success. I’m having success. I’m doing great with the Hispanic voters. I’m doing great with Black men. I’m doing great with women, because women want safety.”
The survey that provided this latest data was conducted between August 17 and 20 and involved 801 registered voters nationwide. The poll was carried out by Braun Research and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. This margin underscores the significance of Harris’s lead, though it also suggests that the race remains competitive.
Harris’s rise in the polls is further reflected in a polling index by Decision Desk HQ and The Hill, which shows her with a 3.6 percentage point lead over Trump. While this lead is smaller than the one reported by Fairleigh Dickinson University, it still indicates a positive trend for Harris as the general election approaches.
As the campaign progresses, both candidates will continue to vie for support from undecided voters and those who may change their minds in the lead-up to November. For now, Harris’s recent gains suggest that her campaign’s strategy is resonating with a broad segment of the electorate, particularly among those who value diversity and reject traditional gender roles. Trump, on the other hand, will likely continue to rely on his core base, which has remained steadfast in its support despite the changing dynamics of the race.
Overall, the latest poll results indicate that the 2024 presidential election is shaping up to be a highly competitive race, with Harris currently holding a slight edge. As both candidates continue to campaign vigorously, the electorate’s preferences will undoubtedly continue to evolve, making it crucial for each to address the concerns and priorities of voters across the political spectrum.