“They Won’t Even Vote” Trump Hit With Bad News Just Hours After Making Big Political Achievement
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s independent presidential campaign suspension could significantly influence the results in crucial battleground states.
As former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris vie for the 270 electoral votes needed to win, Kennedy’s exit might shift the dynamics of the race.
Currently, Kennedy is polling at an average of 5% nationally, as reported by the New York Post on Saturday, August 24.
Although this level of support seems modest, it could have a noticeable effect depending on whether his voters lean towards Trump or Harris—and if they even cast their ballots.
Kennedy, whose family has a long-standing influence in Democratic politics, previously enjoyed a balanced mix of support from both parties.
However, his support plummeted after President Biden withdrew and endorsed Harris, causing a boost for Harris.
Kennedy has decided to halt his campaign, admitting that he had become more of a vote splitter than a viable contender.
The impact of Kennedy’s withdrawal will hinge on how his supporters choose to vote next. If many choose Trump, it could affect the tight race.
Kennedy’s name might still appear on some ballots, allowing voters the option to select him.
Opinions vary on the potential impact of Kennedy’s departure. Some pollsters believe it could be crucial, while others see it as insignificant.
Dave Wasserman from the Cook Political Report noted that Kennedy’s exit could benefit Trump slightly, with polls showing that some Kennedy supporters might shift their allegiance to Trump.
“Most of Kennedy’s left-leaning support had already dispersed to Harris. So this could represent a meaningful benefit for Trump,” he told The Post.
Chris Lane from Cygnal indicated that Kennedy’s supporters, who tend to be more center-right, could boost Trump’s chances significantly.
He emphasized that even a small shift in support could be decisive in battleground states where margins are razor-thin.
“With margins in battleground states being razor-thin, that 16% could represent the difference between winning and losing a state,” Lane stated.
Scott Rasmussen of RMG Research pointed out that Kennedy’s exit might give Trump a slight advantage, but he cautioned that other factors, such as debates and economic conditions, could be more influential.
In contrast, Ipsos’ Cliff Young downplayed the potential effect, suggesting that Kennedy’s supporters are unlikely to make a significant difference.
He predicted that those who still support Kennedy might not impact the final vote substantially and some might not even come out to vote.
“I think the endorsement is worth one vote. Those that still support him probably wouldn’t even vote,” he said.
Before Kennedy’s exit, polls in key battleground states like Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Georgia showed tight races.
Kennedy’s departure could slightly improve Trump’s position in these states, but the extent of this shift remains uncertain.